Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.005098 0.005378 0.005668 0.005989 0.006338 0.006705 0.007121
2025-12-28 0.004637 0.005047 0.005491 0.006009 0.006599 0.007255 0.008043
2026-01-04 0.004383 0.004873 0.005420 0.006079 0.006859 0.007760 0.008893
2026-01-11 0.004129 0.004665 0.005277 0.006034 0.006956 0.008056 0.009490
2026-01-18 0.003940 0.004513 0.005179 0.006022 0.007076 0.008370 0.010114
2026-01-25 0.003760 0.004355 0.005060 0.005970 0.007132 0.008596 0.010628
2026-02-01 0.003686 0.004320 0.005083 0.006088 0.007402 0.009102 0.011539
2026-02-08 0.003555 0.004206 0.005000 0.006063 0.007479 0.009354 0.012116
2026-02-15 0.003447 0.004113 0.004938 0.006058 0.007578 0.009634 0.012747
2026-02-22 0.003315 0.003984 0.004822 0.005973 0.007562 0.009750 0.013140
2026-03-01 0.003198 0.003869 0.004717 0.005898 0.007551 0.009868 0.013540
2026-03-08 0.003115 0.003794 0.004662 0.005885 0.007623 0.010106 0.014137
2026-03-15 0.002967 0.003630 0.004484 0.005698 0.007441 0.009963 0.014130
2026-03-22 0.002905 0.003579 0.004455 0.005716 0.007554 0.010266 0.014861
2026-03-29 0.002866 0.003555 0.004461 0.005781 0.007738 0.010686 0.015820
2026-04-05 0.002791 0.003480 0.004394 0.005739 0.007759 0.010851 0.016355
2026-04-12 0.002731 0.003424 0.004350 0.005728 0.007825 0.011088 0.017036
2026-04-19 0.002662 0.003353 0.004283 0.005680 0.007829 0.011224 0.017543
2026-04-26 0.002648 0.003358 0.004323 0.005789 0.008083 0.011787 0.018891
2026-05-03 0.002593 0.003303 0.004275 0.005766 0.008125 0.011994 0.019579
2026-05-10 0.002547 0.003259 0.004241 0.005761 0.008196 0.012252 0.020393
2026-05-17 0.002480 0.003184 0.004161 0.005683 0.008142 0.012289 0.020760
2026-05-24 0.002419 0.003116 0.004088 0.005613 0.008099 0.012341 0.021161